The maverick ticket
Posted on 08.29.08 by dancurry @ 9:04 am

Alaska Governor Sarah Palin is a very risky pick as vice president. As a first-term governor, it brings the issue of experience front and center. But the news media, in the first few minutes of trying to digest this, are missing the point.

Palin has built her reputation as a gutsy reformer. She stood up against her own party’s corruption in Alaska.

John McCain’s strategists probably believed that the experience argument against Obama is relevant, but ultimately out of their hands. In other words, if Obama performed well in the debates and the public viewed him as qualified for president, the argument is negated.

Reform, on the other hand, is something that Obama can’t claim. He has the festering Rezko house deal and did nothing about corruption in his own state.

McCain and Palin have bucked their own party. They are truly independent. Obama and Biden are not. They are boilerplate Democrats with no credible record of reform.

Suddenly, the change ticket changed to McCain-Palin.

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The symphony that wasn’t
Posted on 08.29.08 by dancurry @ 7:21 am

Pundits both left and even some from the right were effusive in their praise of Barack Obama’s speech last night. Once again, Obama, the magician, fooled them.

This speech wasn’t even close to great as a piece of art. It was a mismash of several different styles—stump speech, soaring rhetoric, churlish attacks, defensive pre-emption. Much has been made about Obama writing his own speeches. If you look closely at the text, it appears that Obama’s language was invaded by insertion of the attacks and pre-emption.

Read the text and then read George W. Bush’s 2000 acceptance speech. Putting aside partisan feelings, the Obama speech is not even close to GWB’s as a piece of writing.

The tactics of Obama’s speech may have been clever, we’ll see. But a symphony it wasn’t.

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Clever emptiness
Posted on 08.28.08 by dancurry @ 9:32 pm

My immediate impressions of Barack Obama’s speech is that more than anything, it was a tactical treatise.

He tried to pre-empt Republican attacks to come and gave a few more specifics to satisfy those who say he is an empty suit. It was the same old liberal ideas we’ve heard for four decades, but of course delivered in a superior way than previous liberal presidential candidates.

There wasn’t a single new idea or theme. He probably believes he doesn’t need one—he’ll ride the dissatisfaction with Republicans to victory.

In a way, a very defensive speech. John McCain needs to jump right back into his face. If he does, he will win.

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Liberals getting nervous about Obama
Posted on 08.27.08 by dancurry @ 2:18 pm

Here’s what a prominent liberal blogger thinks of the Democratic convention so far.

The first two days of the convention were wasted, or seemed so from my vantage point. Tonight, Joe Biden will rip into McCain. And tomorrow, Obama will do whatever he does. Then on Friday, at noon, John McCain will announce his vice presidential nominee, strangling any convention bounce in the crib. Then the Republican Convention will begin, and you can be assured that they will remember Barack Obama’s name. They will remember how to make fun of him, how to mock his celebrity and inexperience. And the media will not cover Ron Paul’s protesters with the vigor or attention they gave to Hillary Clinton’s diehards. Instead, they will cover four days of straight attacks on Barack Obama, culminating with a grave address about sacrifice and service from John McCain. And unless Obama’s convention makes a sharp turn tonight and tomorrow, they will have done nothing to soften the impact of these attacks and themes or create a counternarrative for the media to cover.

Probably should have thought of that before nominating the most liberal and inexperienced major party candidate in U.S. history.

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Barack’s biggest problem
Posted on 08.25.08 by dancurry @ 6:13 pm

Barack Obama has lots of political problems but none is as large as this ad and this issue. He has no good response. He won’t gain the trust of middle America once they absorb this information.

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Biden’s Rezko problems
Posted on 08.25.08 by dancurry @ 8:08 am

Joe Biden’s ties to the Tony Rezko scandal were reported on in the last 24 hours by the Chicago Tribune, Chicago Sun-Times, and Daily Herald. The accounts focused on Joe Cari, a longtime Democratic fundraiser.

Biden has described himself as a 30-year friend of a key figure in the Rezko trial who’s pleaded guilty to a federal extortion charge in Chicago and is awaiting sentencing.

Another angle to the story is David Wilhelm. The former DNC chairman and Bill Clinton campaign manager was a key advisor to Biden’s 1988 and 2008 campaign run. Wilhelm also is a longtime confident of Barack Obama’s senior strategist David Axelrod.

As I wrote previously, the news media has curiously failed to ask Wilhelm questions about his role in the Rezko scandal in Illinois, dubbed Operation Board Games. His firm was subpoenaed after taking a no-bid pension contract from the Teachers’ Retirement System, the agency where a significant portion of the Rezko related fraud was centered. He was campaign chairman in 2002 for Illinois Governor Rod Blagojevich, whose administration is so entwined in Operation Board Games the DNC won’t allow him to speak at the convention this week. The Rezko scandal centered on funneling money to Blagojevich’s campaign fund, and Wilhelm served as the captain of that ship when it raised much of its money.

Then, suddenly, as the Blagojevich investigations heated up, Wilhelm moved back to his native Ohio, denying the move had anything to do with the prosecutorial atmosphere in Illinois. That was two years ago. At the very least, you would think the media would ask him if he’s been questioned by the feds about Operation Board Games.

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Filed under: Blagojevich and Blogs and Illinois politics and Mainstream media and National politics and Obama

The Dems’ housing shortage
Posted on 08.25.08 by dancurry @ 6:27 am

Not decisive evidence, but a focus group conducted by Frank Luntz shows that, like many speculated last week, the Obama “seven houses” attack on John McCain is not effective.

Then Luntz plays Obama’s ad attacking McCain on the “seven houses” issue. Nobody much likes it; the meters stay below 50 for both Republican and Democratic leaners. After that comes McCain’s response ad, the one featuring Tony Rezko. Republican meters shoot up to 80, while the Democratic meters climb slightly above 50. Asked later, people think Obama’s attack ad was good, but the Rezko response raised new questions. “For Barack to get money from someone else — and who knows where he got that money to get his house?” one woman asks. In general, says another woman, in McCain’s ads, “the issues were a little more clear.”

I would be curious how the Bill Ayres ad tested. I bet better than all the other attacks last week.

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Biden already fading
Posted on 08.24.08 by dancurry @ 2:03 pm

He’s fading from view on Barack’s logo. The One didn’t want to share a ticket with his 50-50 rival and now he doesn’t even want to equally share his logo with Joe Biden.

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About that train to Wilmington
Posted on 08.24.08 by dancurry @ 11:49 am

That “man of the people,” the scrappy senator Joe Biden from Scranton, who takes the train every morning and evening from Wilmington, DE., to Washington DC, apparently has an arrangement with Amtrak that sounds antithetical to what the Democrats are trying to sell.

Read this first person account of a passenger. It’s fascinating.

No sooner had we left the station than a porter appeared to ask for my order—after all, I had paid the tab.  I asked for a cup of black and looked back down at my notes for the morning’s testimony.  The porters remained and I looked up, telling him I was immune to offers of food served on planes or trains.   “That’s not it, sir.  This is a reserved seat and you will have to move.”
   “I didn’t notice that these were assigned seats.” I replied
  “This one is, just the same.” he told me.

As a taxpayer, the notion that any operation as heavily subsidized as Amtrak should treat one fare-paying passenger any differently than another is offensive.  “I think I will stay here”   
  “I will have to call security, then.”  This substantially raised the stakes and came to the point of valor wasted so I got up to move across the aisle.
  “Is this O.K?” I sneered at what was objectively my employee.
  “Fine, sir and let me help you move your case.  I’ll be right back with your coffee.”

A private seat for Senator Scrappy. The Democrats are trying to sell Biden as an asset in attracting working class votes. It won’t work. There are few politicians in Washington who exude pomposity more than ol’ Joe.

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The great (un)uniter
Posted on 08.23.08 by dancurry @ 7:13 pm

Closest primary race in history and Barack Obama treated the second place finisher like a discarded one-night stand. His first great test of leadership: flunked.

A top Clinton advisor also told CNN they were “outraged,” over how the process was conducted.

“You can’t put [Obama VP vetters] Eric Holder and Caroline Kennedy on an hour plane ride to Chappaqua just to check the box? They should have done it just for the optics,” this person said. “Barack never even said to her, ‘Here’s how I envision the job’– not one discussion with her about [the position].”

“They thought her supporters were mad before? They are really mad now,” this person also said. We knew it was never going to happen but you would have thought they might at least make a show of it.”

Former Clinton strategist Paul Begala echoed similar frustrations on CNN Friday night.

“I think there are a lot of Hillary voters who are going to say, ‘Hey, wait a minute, man You said you were going to put her on the short list. You know, you didn’t even vet her. You didn’t call her. You didn’t seek her advice,’” Begala said. “By the way, he didn’t seek President Clinton’s advice either. He’s actually the guy who I think picked the best vice president in American history. You would think maybe you would sort of check in with him.”

The convention looms. Obama’s “bounce” might just come from his own party.

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Reverse Spin allows a former newspaper reporter, editor, government spokesman and long ago JFK Democrat turned Republican strategist to explain the weird and twisted things that are written and said every day...in Illinois...and across the country. Dan Curry can be reached at danieldcurry at gmail dot com. The opinions expressed here are correct and not always those of clients of my public affairs consulting company, Curry Public Strategies, Inc.

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